Wisconsin 2012 Recall
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RealClearPolitics Poll Averages

General Election: Romney vs. Obama

PollDateSampleMoEObama (D)Romney (R)Spread
Final Results------51.147.2Obama +3.9
RCP Average10/31 - 11/5----48.848.1Obama +0.7
Politico/GWU/Battleground11/4 - 11/51000 LV3.14747Tie
Rasmussen Reports11/3 - 11/51500 LV3.04849Romney +1
IBD/TIPP11/3 - 11/5712 LV3.75049Obama +1
CNN/Opinion Research11/2 - 11/4693 LV3.54949Tie
Gallup11/1 - 11/42700 LV2.04950Romney +1
ABC News/Wash Post11/1 - 11/42345 LV2.55047Obama +3
Monmouth/SurveyUSA/Braun11/1 - 11/41417 LV2.64848Tie
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl11/1 - 11/31475 LV2.64847Obama +1
Pew Research10/31 - 11/32709 LV2.25047Obama +3

Election 2012

State Obama Romney RCP Average RCP Status 2008 2004 2000
Ohio (18)Obama +2.9Toss UpObama +4.6Bush +2.1Bush +3.5
Florida (29)Romney +1.5Toss UpObama +2.8Bush +5.0Bush +0.1
Virginia (13)Obama +0.3Toss UpObama +6.3Bush +8.2Bush +8.1
New Hampshire (4)Obama +2.0Toss UpObama +9.6Kerry +1.3Bush +1.3
North Carolina (15)Romney +3.0Toss UpObama +0.3Bush +12.4Bush +12.8
Michigan (16)Obama +4.0Toss UpObama +16.4Kerry +3.4Gore +5.2
Wisconsin (10)Obama +4.2Toss UpObama +13.9Kerry +0.4Gore +0.2
Pennsylvania (20)Obama +3.8Toss UpObama +10.3Kerry +2.5Gore +4.2
Iowa (6)Obama +2.4Toss UpObama +9.5Bush +0.7Gore +0.3
Colorado (9)Obama +1.5Toss UpObama +9.0Bush +4.7Bush +8.4
Nevada (6)Obama +2.8Toss UpObama +12.5Bush +2.6Bush +3.5
Minnesota (10)Obama +5.2Leans DemObama +10.3Kerry +3.5Gore +2.4
Oregon (7)Obama +6.0Leans DemObama +16.4Kerry +4.2Gore +0.5
Arizona (11)Romney +7.5Leans GOPMcCain +8.5Bush +10.5Bush +6.3
Montana (3)Romney +9.0Likely GOPMcCain +2.2Bush +20.5Bush +25.0
New Mexico (5)Obama +10.0Likely DemObama +15.1Bush +0.7Gore +0.1
Georgia (16)Romney +10.0Likely GOPMcCain +5.2Bush +16.6Bush +11.7
Indiana (11)Romney +9.5Likely GOPObama +1.1Bush +20.7Bush +15.7
Connecticut (7)Obama +10.8Likely DemObama +22.4Kerry +10.3Gore +17.5
Missouri (10)Romney +10.2Likely GOPMcCain +0.1Bush +7.2Bush +3.3
New Jersey (14)Obama +11.8Likely DemObama +15.6Kerry +6.7Gore +15.8
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President Obama Job Approval

PollDateSampleApprove Disapprove Spread
RCP Average3/26 - 4/16--43.351.7 -8.4
Rasmussen Reports4/14 - 4/161500 LV4653 -7
FOX News4/13 - 4/151012 RV4251 -9
The Economist/YouGov4/12 - 4/14704 RV4353 -10
McClatchy/Marist4/7 - 4/101036 RV4552 -7
Gallup4/13 - 4/151500 A4252 -10
Reason-Rupe/PSRAI3/26 - 3/301003 A4351 -8
Quinnipiac3/26 - 3/311578 RV4250 -8

2014 Generic Congressional Vote

PollDateSampleDemocrats (D)Republicans (R)Spread
RCP Average3/19 - 4/13--41.839.3Democrats +2.5
Rasmussen Reports4/7 - 4/133500 LV4038Democrats +2
McClatchy/Marist4/7 - 4/101036 RV4842Democrats +6
Quinnipiac3/26 - 3/311578 RV4038Democrats +2
Reason-Rupe/PSRAI3/26 - 3/301003 A4036Democrats +4
CBS News3/20 - 3/23RV3939Tie
NPR/GQR/Resurgent3/19 - 3/23840 LV4443Democrats +1

Direction of Country

PollDateSampleRight Direction Wrong Track Spread
RCP Average3/14 - 4/14--30.761.4 -30.7
The Economist/YouGov4/12 - 4/14704 RV3059 -29
Rasmussen Reports4/7 - 4/133500 LV3161 -30
McClatchy/Marist4/7 - 4/101036 RV3364 -31
Reason-Rupe/PSRAI3/26 - 3/301003 A3060 -30
Associated Press/GfK3/20 - 3/241012 A3762 -25
CBS News3/20 - 3/231097 A3661 -25
NPR/GQR/Resurgent3/19 - 3/23840 LV2963 -34
GWU/Battleground3/16 - 3/201000 LV2864 -36
Reuters/Ipsos3/14 - 3/181369 A2259 -37

Congressional Job Approval

PollDateSampleApprove Disapprove Spread
RCP Average3/2 - 4/14--13.578.8 -65.3
The Economist/YouGov4/12 - 4/14704 RV1171 -60
Gallup4/3 - 4/61026 A1383 -70
Reason-Rupe/PSRAI3/26 - 3/301003 A1774 -57
Associated Press/GfK3/20 - 3/241012 A1682 -66
CBS News3/20 - 3/231097 A1876 -58
GWU/Battleground3/16 - 3/201000 LV1382 -69
PPP (D)3/6 - 3/91152 RV884 -76
FOX News3/2 - 3/41002 RV1278 -66
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