Wisconsin 2012 Recall
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RealClearPolitics Poll Averages

General Election: Romney vs. Obama

PollDateSampleMoEObama (D)Romney (R)Spread
Final Results------51.147.2Obama +3.9
RCP Average10/31 - 11/5----48.848.1Obama +0.7
Politico/GWU/Battleground11/4 - 11/51000 LV3.14747Tie
Rasmussen Reports11/3 - 11/51500 LV3.04849Romney +1
IBD/TIPP11/3 - 11/5712 LV3.75049Obama +1
CNN/Opinion Research11/2 - 11/4693 LV3.54949Tie
Gallup11/1 - 11/42700 LV2.04950Romney +1
ABC News/Wash Post11/1 - 11/42345 LV2.55047Obama +3
Monmouth/SurveyUSA/Braun11/1 - 11/41417 LV2.64848Tie
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl11/1 - 11/31475 LV2.64847Obama +1
Pew Research10/31 - 11/32709 LV2.25047Obama +3

Election 2012

State Obama Romney RCP Average RCP Status 2008 2004 2000
Ohio (18)Obama +2.9Toss UpObama +4.6Bush +2.1Bush +3.5
Florida (29)Romney +1.5Toss UpObama +2.8Bush +5.0Bush +0.1
Virginia (13)Obama +0.3Toss UpObama +6.3Bush +8.2Bush +8.1
New Hampshire (4)Obama +2.0Toss UpObama +9.6Kerry +1.3Bush +1.3
North Carolina (15)Romney +3.0Toss UpObama +0.3Bush +12.4Bush +12.8
Michigan (16)Obama +4.0Toss UpObama +16.4Kerry +3.4Gore +5.2
Wisconsin (10)Obama +4.2Toss UpObama +13.9Kerry +0.4Gore +0.2
Pennsylvania (20)Obama +3.8Toss UpObama +10.3Kerry +2.5Gore +4.2
Iowa (6)Obama +2.4Toss UpObama +9.5Bush +0.7Gore +0.3
Colorado (9)Obama +1.5Toss UpObama +9.0Bush +4.7Bush +8.4
Nevada (6)Obama +2.8Toss UpObama +12.5Bush +2.6Bush +3.5
Minnesota (10)Obama +5.2Leans DemObama +10.3Kerry +3.5Gore +2.4
Oregon (7)Obama +6.0Leans DemObama +16.4Kerry +4.2Gore +0.5
Arizona (11)Romney +7.5Leans GOPMcCain +8.5Bush +10.5Bush +6.3
Montana (3)Romney +9.0Likely GOPMcCain +2.2Bush +20.5Bush +25.0
New Mexico (5)Obama +10.0Likely DemObama +15.1Bush +0.7Gore +0.1
Georgia (16)Romney +10.0Likely GOPMcCain +5.2Bush +16.6Bush +11.7
Indiana (11)Romney +9.5Likely GOPObama +1.1Bush +20.7Bush +15.7
Connecticut (7)Obama +10.8Likely DemObama +22.4Kerry +10.3Gore +17.5
Missouri (10)Romney +10.2Likely GOPMcCain +0.1Bush +7.2Bush +3.3
New Jersey (14)Obama +11.8Likely DemObama +15.6Kerry +6.7Gore +15.8
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President Obama Job Approval

PollDateSampleApprove Disapprove Spread
RCP Average6/7 - 6/18--46.049.0 -3.0
Gallup6/16 - 6/181500 A4744 +3
Rasmussen Reports6/16 - 6/181500 LV4852 -4
The Economist/YouGov6/15 - 6/17684 RV4454 -10
Pew Research6/12 - 6/161512 A4943 +6
CNN/Opinion Research6/11 - 6/131014 A4554 -9
Time6/10 - 6/11805 A4844 +4
FOX News6/9 - 6/111019 RV4450 -6
Reuters/Ipsos6/7 - 6/111037 A4351 -8

Generic Congressional Vote

PollDateSampleDemocrats Republicans Spread
RCP Average5/16 - 6/16--41.739.0Democrats +2.7
Rasmussen Reports6/10 - 6/163500 LV3939Tie
Quinnipiac5/22 - 5/281419 RV3838Tie
ABC News/Wash Post5/16 - 5/19RV4840Democrats +8

Direction of Country

PollDateRight Direction Wrong Track Spread
RCP Average5/30 - 6/1731.359.4 -28.1
The Economist/YouGov6/15 - 6/173258 -26
Rasmussen Reports6/10 - 6/162963 -34
Time6/10 - 6/113358 -25
Reuters/Ipsos6/7 - 6/112659 -33
CBS News/NY Times5/31 - 6/43559 -24
Bloomberg5/31 - 6/33260 -28
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl5/30 - 6/23259 -27

Congressional Job Approval

PollDateApprove Disapprove Spread
RCP Average5/18 - 6/1714.477.6 -63.2
The Economist/YouGov6/15 - 6/171071 -61
CNN/Opinion Research6/11 - 6/131683 -67
Gallup6/1 - 6/41778 -61
CBS News/NY Times5/31 - 6/41380 -67
FOX News5/18 - 5/201676 -60
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