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RealClearPolitics Poll Averages
General Election: McCain vs. Obama
| Poll | Date | Sample | MoE | Obama (D) | McCain (R) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | -- | 52.9 | 45.6 | Obama +7.3 |
| RCP Average | 10/29 - 11/03 | -- | -- | 52.1 | 44.5 | Obama +7.6 |
| Marist | 11/03 - 11/03 | 804 LV | 4.0 | 52 | 43 | Obama +9 |
| Battleground (Lake)* | 11/02 - 11/03 | 800 LV | 3.5 | 52 | 47 | Obama +5 |
| Battleground (Tarrance)* | 11/02 - 11/03 | 800 LV | 3.5 | 50 | 48 | Obama +2 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 11/01 - 11/03 | 3000 LV | 2.0 | 52 | 46 | Obama +6 |
| Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby | 11/01 - 11/03 | 1201 LV | 2.9 | 54 | 43 | Obama +11 |
| IBD/TIPP | 11/01 - 11/03 | 981 LV | 3.2 | 52 | 44 | Obama +8 |
| FOX News | 11/01 - 11/02 | 971 LV | 3.0 | 50 | 43 | Obama +7 |
| NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl | 11/01 - 11/02 | 1011 LV | 3.1 | 51 | 43 | Obama +8 |
| Gallup | 10/31 - 11/02 | 2472 LV | 2.0 | 55 | 44 | Obama +11 |
| Diageo/Hotline | 10/31 - 11/02 | 887 LV | 3.3 | 50 | 45 | Obama +5 |
| CBS News | 10/31 - 11/02 | 714 LV | -- | 51 | 42 | Obama +9 |
| ABC News/Wash Post | 10/30 - 11/02 | 2470 LV | 2.5 | 53 | 44 | Obama +9 |
| Ipsos/McClatchy | 10/30 - 11/02 | 760 LV | 3.6 | 53 | 46 | Obama +7 |
| CNN/Opinion Research | 10/30 - 11/01 | 714 LV | 3.5 | 53 | 46 | Obama +7 |
| Pew Research | 10/29 - 11/01 | 2587 LV | 2.0 | 52 | 46 | Obama +6 |
Generic Congressional Vote
| Poll | Date | Democrats | Republicans | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 10/23 - 11/02 | 47.6 | 38.6 | Democrats +9.0 |
| NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl | 11/01 - 11/02 | 48 | 36 | Democrats +12 |
| Gallup | 10/31 - 11/02 | 53 | 41 | Democrats +12 |
| Diageo/Hotline | 10/31 - 11/02 | 44 | 39 | Democrats +5 |
| CBS News/NY Times | 10/25 - 10/29 | 48 | 36 | Democrats +12 |
| GWU/Battleground | 10/23 - 10/29 | 45 | 41 | Democrats +4 |
President Bush Job Approval
| Poll | Date | Approve | Disapprove | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 12/03 - 12/21 | 27.4 | 67.6 | -40.2 |
| CNN | 12/19 - 12/21 | 27 | 72 | -45 |
| USA Today/Gallup | 12/12 - 12/14 | 29 | 67 | -38 |
| ABC News/Wash Post | 12/11 - 12/14 | 30 | 68 | -38 |
| FOX News | 12/09 - 12/10 | 30 | 65 | -35 |
| NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl | 12/05 - 12/08 | 27 | 67 | -40 |
| CBS News | 12/04 - 12/08 | 24 | 68 | -44 |
| Associated Press-GfK | 12/03 - 12/08 | 28 | 66 | -38 |
| Pew Research | 12/03 - 12/07 | 24 | 68 | -44 |
Congressional Job Approval
| Poll | Date | Approve | Disapprove | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 10/23 - 11/16 | 18.4 | 73.4 | -55.0 |
| Gallup | 11/13 - 11/16 | 19 | 74 | -55 |
| Associated Press-GfK | 11/06 - 11/10 | 21 | 71 | -50 |
| FOX News | 11/01 - 11/02 | 18 | 75 | -57 |
| CBS News/NY Times | 10/25 - 10/29 | 15 | 75 | -60 |
| GWU/Battleground | 10/23 - 10/29 | 19 | 72 | -53 |
Direction of Country
| Poll | Date | Right Direction | Wrong Track | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 11/06 - 11/10 | 27.8 | 65.8 | -38.0 |
| Associated Press-GfK | 11/06 - 11/10 | 36 | 56 | -20 |
| USA Today/Gallup | 11/07 - 11/09 | 13 | 84 | -71 |
| Ipsos/McClatchy | 11/06 - 11/09 | 32 | 64 | -32 |
| Diageo/Hotline | 11/06 - 11/09 | 30 | 59 | -29 |