| Florida
( 27 Electoral Votes) |
| >>
Results from 2000 Election: Bush 48.9, Gore 48.8, Nader 1.6
(Bush
+0.1) |
|
Poll
| Date |
Sample |
MoE |
Bush |
Kerry |
Nader |
Spread |
| RCP
Average | 10/25-11/1 |
- |
- |
48.2 |
47.6 |
1.0 |
Bush
+0.6 |
| |
600
LV |
4.0 |
48 |
50 |
1 |
Kerry
+2 |
| |
601
LV |
4.1 |
48 |
48 |
- |
TIE |
| |
700 LV |
3.0 |
44 |
49 |
1 |
Kerry
+5 |
| |
742 LV |
3.7 |
49 |
48 |
- |
Bush
+1 |
| Insdr
Adv | 10/29-31 |
400 LV |
5.0 |
48 |
48 |
1 |
TIE |
| |
1098
LV |
3.0 |
51 |
43 |
1 |
Bush
+8 |
| |
1138
LV |
4.1 |
47 |
50 |
- |
Kerry
+3 |
| |
600
LV |
4.0 |
50 |
47 |
- |
Bush
+3 |
| |
625 LV |
4.0 |
49 |
45 |
- |
Bush
+4 |
| |
|
| Ohio
( 20 Electoral Votes) |
| >>Results
from 2000 Election: Bush 50.0, Gore 46.5, Nader 2.5
(Bush +3.5) |
| Poll
| Date |
Sample |
MoE |
Bush |
Kerry |
Nader |
Spread |
| RCP
Average | 10/25-11/1 |
- |
- |
48.8 |
46.7 |
Off
Ballot |
Bush
+2.1 |
| |
601
LV |
4.1 |
49 |
43 |
- |
Bush
+6 |
| |
700
LV |
3.0 |
50 |
47 |
- |
Bush
+3 |
| |
816
LV |
3.5 |
49 |
47 |
- |
Bush
+2 |
| |
1111 LV |
4.0 |
46 |
50 |
- |
Kerry
+4 |
| |
877LV |
3.3 |
50.1 |
49.2 |
- |
Bush
+0.9 |
| |
625 LV |
4.0 |
48 |
46 |
- |
Bush
+2 |
| |
600
LV |
4.0 |
50 |
46 |
- |
Bush
+4 |
| |
1500
LV |
2.6 |
48 |
45 |
- |
Bush
+3 |
| |
|
| Pennsylvania
( 21 Electoral Votes) |
| >>Results
from 2000 Election: Bush 46.4, Gore 50.6, Nader 2.1 (Gore
+4.2) |
| Poll
| Date |
Sample |
MoE |
Bush |
Kerry |
Nader |
Spread |
| RCP
Average | 10/25-11/1 |
- |
- |
47.3 |
48.2 |
Off
Ballot |
Kerry
+0.9 |
| |
657
LV |
3.9 |
48 |
49 |
- |
Kerry
+1 |
| |
601
LV |
4.1 |
46 |
50 |
- |
Kerry
+4 |
| |
601
LV |
4.1 |
50 |
46 |
- |
Bush
+4 |
| |
909
LV |
3.3 |
47 |
47 |
- |
TIE |
| |
600
LV |
4.0 |
47 |
49 |
- |
Kerry
+2 |
| |
625
LV |
4.0 |
46 |
48 |
- |
Kerry
+2 |
| |
|
| Wisconsin
( 10 Electoral Votes) |
| >>Results
from 2000 Election: Bush 47.6, Gore 47.8, Nader 3.6 (Gore +0.2) |
| Poll
| Date |
Sample |
MoE |
Bush |
Kerry |
Nader |
Spread |
| RCP
Average | 10/23-11/1 |
- |
- |
47.7 |
46.8 |
1.7 |
Bush
+0.9 |
| |
601
LV |
4.1 |
45 |
51 |
- |
Kerry
+6 |
| |
700
LV |
3.0 |
48 |
45 |
1 |
Bush
+3 |
| |
1119 LV |
4.0 |
52 |
44 |
- |
Bush
+8 |
| |
625
LV |
4.0 |
46 |
48 |
- |
Kerry
+2 |
| |
601
LV |
4.1 |
47 |
48 |
1 |
Kerry
+1 |
| |
545
LV |
4.1 |
48 |
45 |
3 |
Bush
+3 |
| |
|
| Iowa
( 7 Electoral Votes) |
| >>Results
from 2000 Election: Bush 48.2, Gore 48.5, Nader 2.2 (Gore +0.3) |
| Poll
| Date |
Sample |
MoE |
Bush |
Kerry |
Nader |
Spread |
| RCP
Average | 10/25-11/1 |
- |
- |
47.4 |
47.1 |
1.0 |
Bush
+0.3 |
| |
519
LV |
4.4 |
47 |
50 |
- |
Kerry
+3 |
| |
601
LV |
4.1 |
45 |
50 |
- |
Kerry
+5 |
| |
700
LV |
3.0 |
48 |
44 |
1 |
Bush
+4 |
| |
LV |
4.0 |
48 |
46 |
- |
Bush
+2 |
| |
625
LV |
4.0 |
49 |
44 |
- |
Bush
+5 |
| |
806
LV |
3.5 |
45 |
48 |
1 |
Kerry
+3 |
| |
600
LV |
4.0 |
49 |
48 |
1 |
Bush
+1 |
| |
600
LV |
4.0 |
48 |
47 |
1 |
Bush
+1 |
| |
|
| Minnesota
( 10 Electoral Votes) |
| >>Results
from 2000 Election: Bush 45.5, Gore 47.9, Nader 5.2 (Gore +2.4) |
| Poll
| Date |
Sample |
MoE |
Bush |
Kerry |
Nader |
Spread |
| RCP
Average | 10/24-11/1 |
- |
- |
45.3 |
48.5 |
5.0 |
Kerry
+3.2 |
| |
601
LV |
4.1 |
45 |
51 |
- |
Kerry
+6 |
| |
1098 LV |
3.0 |
44 |
52 |
- |
Kerry
+8 |
| |
600 LV |
4.0 |
47 |
48 |
- |
Kerry
+1 |
| |
625 LV |
4.0 |
48 |
47 |
- |
Bush
+1 |
| |
996 LV |
3.5 |
41 |
49 |
- |
Kerry
+8 |
| |
690
LV |
4.1 |
47 |
44 |
5 |
Bush
+3 |
| |
|
| Michigan
( 17 Electoral Votes) |
| >>Results
from 2000 Election: Bush 46.1, Gore 51.3, Nader 2.0 (Gore
+5.2) |
| Poll
| Date |
Sample |
MoE |
Bush |
Kerry |
Nader |
Spread |
| RCP
Average | 10/25 - 11/1 |
- |
- |
45.2 |
48.7 |
1.5 |
Kerry
+3.5 |
| |
601
LV |
4.1 |
46 |
52 |
- |
Kerry
+6 |
| |
671
LV |
3.9 |
47 |
50 |
- |
Kerry
+3 |
| |
625
LV |
4.0 |
45 |
47 |
- |
Kerry
+2 |
| |
600
LV |
5.0 |
46 |
50 |
- |
Kerry
+4 |
| |
600
LV |
4.0 |
41 |
43 |
2 |
Kerry
+2 |
| Research
2000 | 10/25-27 |
600
LV |
4.0 |
46 |
50 |
1 |
Kerry
+4 |
| |
|
| Missouri
( 11 Electoral Votes) |
| >>Results
from 2000 Election: Bush 50.4, Gore 47.1, Nader 1.6
(Bush +3.3) |
| Poll
| Date |
Sample |
MoE |
Bush |
Kerry |
Nader |
Spread |
| RCP
Average | 10/22-10/31 |
- |
- |
49.5 |
45.3 |
Off
Ballot |
Bush
+4.2 |
| |
694
LV |
3.8 |
52 |
47 |
- |
Bush
+5 |
| |
625
LV |
4.0 |
49 |
44 |
- |
Bush
+5 |
| |
553
LV |
4.1 |
49 |
45 |
- |
Bush
+4 |
| |
800
LV |
3.5 |
48 |
45 |
- |
Bush
+3 |
| |
|
| New
Mexico
( 5 Electoral Votes) |
| >>Results
from 2000 Election: Bush 47.9, Gore 47.9, Nader 3.6 (Gore
+0.06) |
| Poll
| Date |
Sample |
MoE |
Bush |
Kerry |
Nader |
Spread |
| RCP
Average | 10/26-11/1 |
- |
- |
47.8 |
46.4 |
1.3 |
Bush
+1.4 |
| |
601
LV |
4.1 |
48 |
51 |
- |
Kerry
+3 |
| |
600
LV |
4.0 |
47 |
48 |
1 |
Kerry
+1 |
| |
625
LV |
4.0 |
49 |
45 |
- |
Bush
+4 |
| |
- |
3.0 |
47 |
44 |
1 |
Bush
+3 |
| |
500
LV |
4.5 |
48 |
44 |
2 |
Bush
+4 |
| |
|
| Nevada
( 5 Electoral Votes) |
| >>Results
from 2000 Election: Bush 49.5, Gore 46.0, Nader 2.5 (Bush +3.5) |
| Poll
| Date |
Sample |
MoE |
Bush |
Kerry |
Nader |
Spread |
| RCP
Average | 10/27-11/1 |
- |
- |
51.0 |
44.7 |
- |
Bush
+6.3 |
| |
636
LV |
4.0 |
53 |
45 |
- |
Bush
+8 |
| |
601
LV |
4.1 |
50 |
45 |
- |
Bush
+5 |
| |
625
LV |
4.0 |
50 |
44 |
- |
Bush
+6 |
| |
|
| Colorado
( 9 Electoral Votes) |
| >>Results
from 2000 Election: Bush 50.8, Gore 42.4, Nader 5.3 (Bush +8.4) |
| Poll
| Date |
Sample |
MoE |
Bush |
Kerry |
Nader |
Spread |
| RCP
Average | 10/25-11/1 |
- |
- |
50.0 |
44.8 |
1.0 |
Bush
+5.2 |
| |
705
LV |
3.8 |
50 |
47 |
- |
Bush
+3 |
| |
600
LV |
4.1 |
49 |
47 |
- |
Bush
+2 |
| |
625
LV |
4.0 |
50 |
43 |
1 |
Bush
+7 |
| |
500
LV |
4.3 |
51 |
42 |
- |
Bush
+9 |
| |
|
| New
Hampshire
( 4 Electoral Votes) |
| >>Results
from 2000 Election: Bush 48.1, Gore 46.8, Nader 3.9
(Bush +1.3) |
| Poll
| Date |
Sample |
MoE |
Bush |
Kerry |
Nader |
Spread |
| RCP
Average | 10/26-11/1 |
- |
- |
47.5 |
48.5 |
1.3 |
Kerry
+1.0 |
| |
600
LV |
4.0 |
49 |
48 |
1 |
Bush
+1 |
| |
716
LV |
3.7 |
49 |
|