RealClearPolitics Poll AverageSM
Head-to-Head Race: Bush/Cheney vs Kerry/Edwards
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Poll
Date
Bush/
Cheney
Kerry/
Edwards
Spread
RCP Average
10/27 - 11/1
48.9%
46.9%
Bush +2.0
10/31 - 11/1
50%
46%
Bush +4
10/30 - 11/1
50.2%
48.5%
Bush +1.7
10/30 - 11/1
46.9%
44.3%
Bush +2.6
10/30 - 10/31
46%
48%
Kerry +2
10/29 - 10/31
49%
47%
Bush +2
10/28 - 10/30
50%
47%
Bush +3
10/28 - 10/30
48%
49%
Kerry +1
10/27 - 10/29
51%
45%
Bush +6
10/25 - 10/28
51%
46%
Bush +5
10/22 - 10/24
52%
46%
Bush +6
10/21 - 10/24
49%
48%
Bush +1
10/21 - 10/22
48%
47%
Bush +1
10/19 - 10/21
52%
47%
Bush +5
10/18 - 10/21
49%
45%
Bush +4
10/17 - 10/19
48%
47%
Bush +1
10/17 - 10/18
48%
43%
Bush +5
10/14 - 10/17
47%
46%
Bush +1
10/14 - 10/16
52%
44%
Bush +8
10/14 - 10/15
48%
48%
TIE
10/14 - 10/15
50%
45%
Bush +5
10/11 - 10/14
49%
46%
Bush +3
10/9 - 10/11
47%
46%
Bush +1
10/9 - 10/11
49%
46%
Bush +3
10/9 - 10/10
48%
50%
Kerry +2
10/7 - 10/9
50%
46%
Bush +4
10/6 - 10/7
47%
46%
Bush +1
10/3 - 10/7
49%
46%
Bush +3
10/3 - 10/4
48%
45%
Bush +3
10/1 - 10/5
51%
46%
Bush +5
10/2 - 10/4
46%
47%
Kerry +1
10/1 - 10/3
48%
47%
Bush +1
10/1 - 10/3
46%
45%
Bush +1
10/1 - 10/3
49%
49%
TIE
9/30 - 10/2
46%
49%
Kerry +3
9/27 - 9/30
51%
44%
Bush +7
9/25 - 9/28
51%
46%
Bush +5
9/24 - 9/26
52%
44%
Bush +8
9/22 - 9/27
45%
46%
Kerry +1
9/21 - 9/23
49%
43%
Bush +6
9/21 - 9/22
45%
43%
Bush +2
9/20 - 9/23
50%
45%
Bush +5
9/20 - 9/22
50%
41%
Bush +9
9/17 - 9/19
47%
44%
Bush +3
9/14 - 9/18
46%
43%
Bush +3
9/13 - 9/15
55%
42%
Bush +13
9/12 - 9/16
50%
42%
Bush +8
9/12 - 9/15
49%
45%
Bush +4
9/7 - 9/12
47%
47%
TIE
9/9 - 9/10
50%
45%
Bush +5
9/8 - 9/9
47%
45%
Bush +2
9/7 - 9/9
54%
42%
Bush +12
9/7 - 9/8
47%
45%
Bush +2
9/6 - 9/8
50%
42%
Bush +8
9/3 - 9/5
52%
45%
Bush +7
9/2 - 9/3
54%
43%
Bush +11
8/31 - 9/2
51%
41%
Bush +10
8/30 - 9/2
46%
44%
Bush +2
8/30 - 9/1
48%
47%
Bush +1
8/26 - 8/29
49%
49%
TIE
8/24 - 8/26
46%
46%
TIE
8/24 - 8/25
44%
45%
Kerry +1
8/23 - 8/25
50%
47%
Bush +3
8/23 - 8/25
47%
46%
Bush +1
8/21 - 8/24
45%
50%
Kerry +5
8/21 - 8/24
49%
46%
Bush +3
8/17 - 8/23
44%
44%
TIE
8/15 - 8/18
44%
47%
Kerry +3
8/15 - 8/17
47%
49%
Kerry +2
8/12 - 8/14
43%
50%
Kerry +7
Gallup (729 LV)
8/9 - 8/11
50%
47%
Bush +3
8/2 - 8/5
45%
52%
Kerry +7
8/2 - 8/5
43%
49%
Kerry +6
8/3 - 8/4
43%
48%
Kerry +5
CBS News (991 RV)
7/31 - 8/1
43%
49%
Kerry +6
CNN/Gallup/USAT (LV)
7/30 - 8/1
51%
47%
Bush +4
ABC News/WP (LV)
7/30 - 8/1
48%
49%
Kerry +1
ARG (776 RV)
7/30 - 8/1
46%
49%
Kerry +3
7/29-7/30
44%
52%
Kerry +8
7/26-7/29
43%
48%
Kerry +5
7/22-7/25
49%
48%
Bush +1
IBD/TIPP (883 RV)
7/19-7/24
43%
46%
Kerry +3
7/20-7/22
44%
48%
Kerry +4
7/18-7/22
43%
46%
Kerry +3
7/20-7/21
44%
45%
Kerry +1
7/19-7/21
47%
49%
Kerry +2
7/18-7/20
46%
47%
Kerry +1
7/17-7/21
46%
48%
Kerry +2
IBD/TIPP (842 RV)
7/12-7/17
41%
44%
Kerry +3
CBS/NYT (823 RV)
7/11-7/15
44%
49%
Kerry +5
Dem Corps* (1,010 LV)
7/10-13
46%
51%
Kerry +5
CNN/Gallup/USAT (706 LV)
7/8-11
46%
50%
Kerry +4
7/6-7/10
44%
49%
Kerry +5
7/8-7/9
45%
51%
Kerry +6
Time (774 LV)
7/6-7/8
45%
49%
Kerry +4
Zogby (1,008 LV)
7/6-7/7
44%
46%
Kerry +2
CBS News (462 RV)
7/6
44%
49%
Kerry +5
NBC News (504 RV)
7/6
43%
54%
Kerry +11

7/1-7/3
45%
49%
Kerry +4
6/23-6/27
44%
45%
Kerry +1
Fox News
6/22-6/23
48%
42%
Bush +6
CNN/Gallup/USA Today
6/21-6/23
49%
48%
Bush +1
6/9-6/30
47%
46%
Bush +1
Wash Post/ABC News
6/17-6/20
45%
53%
Kerry +8
IBD/TIPP
6/14-6/19
44%
44%
TIE
6/8-6/13
44%
43%
Bush +1
6/3-6/13
48%
46%
Bush +2
6/6-6/10
49%
48%
Bush +1
6/8-6/9
43%
45%
Kerry +2
6/5-6/8
44%
51%
Kerry +7
6/3-6/6
44%
50%
Kerry +6
6/1-6/6
45%
44%
Bush +1
6/2-6/5
42%
44%
Kerry +2
6/2-6/4
49%
48%
Bush +1
6/1-6/3
46%
48%
Kerry +2

Key: LV = Likely Voters, RV = Registered Voters
* Democracy Corps is a Democratic Polling Firm
**To date we have not included the ICR poll in our RealClearPolitics averages. However, after speaking with the polling director at ICR we are now comfortable that the methodology of the poll is sound and merits inclusion along with the other polls in our average.

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