Pennsylvania 2004 Polls
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Presidential Race       
2004 Electoral Votes: 21 | 2000 Results: Bush 46.4, Gore 50.6, Nader 2.1 (Gore +4.2) 
Poll | Date
Sample
MoE
Bush
Kerry
Nader
Spread
RCP Average | 10/25-11/1
-
-
47.3
48.2
Off Ballot
Kerry +0.9
657 LV
3.9
48
49
-
Kerry +1
601 LV
4.1
46
50
-
Kerry +4
766 LV
3.6
47
51
-
Kerry +4
601 LV
4.1
50
46
-
Bush +4
801 LV
3.0
46
47
-
Kerry +1
909 LV
3.3
47
47
-
TIE
600 LV
4.0
47
49
-
Kerry +2
625 LV
4.0
46
48
-
Kerry +2
801 LV
3.0
48
48
-
TIE
684 LV
3.7
45
50
-
Kerry +5
1488 LV
4.0
47
48
-
Kerry +1
585 LV
4.0
47
50
-
Kerry +3
909 LV
3.3
49
47
-
Bush +2
585 LV
4.0
48
48
-
TIE
803 LV
3.5
45
53
-
Kerry +8
600 LV
4.0
47
50
-
Kerry +3
LV
n/a
46
51
-
Kerry +5
424 LV
4.0
46
49
-
Kerry +3
787 RV
3.5
46
48
-
Kerry +2
841 LV
3.4
46
51
-
Kerry +5
801 LV
3.0
46
47
-
Kerry +1
625 LV
4.0
45
46
-
Kerry +1
619 LV
4.0
45
51
-
Kerry +6
1343 LV
2.7
47
49
-
Kerry +2
578 LV
4.0
46
47
-
Kerry +1
801 LV
3.0
46
45
1
Bush +1
600 LV
4.0
46
48
1
Kerry +2
776 LV
3.6
47
49
-
Kerry +2
600 LV
4.0
43
50
-
Kerry +7
594 LV
4.0
43
49
-
Kerry +6
578 LV
4.0
47
47
-
TIE
801 LV
3.0
48
45
1
Bush +3
625 LV
4.0
44
45
2
Kerry +1
654 LV
4.0
49
46
1
Bush +3
726 LV
3.6
46
49
-
Kerry +3
800 LV
3.5
45
48
1
Kerry +3
1133 LV
3.0
47
49
-
Kerry +2
600 LV
4.0
46
47
1
Kerry +1
624 LV
4.0
44
45
1
Kerry +1
801 LV
3.0
49
44
1
Bush +5
491 RV
4.4
49
49
-
TIE
792 LV
3.5
46
42
6
Bush +4
LV
3.5
49
46
2
Bush +3
526 LV
4.0
49
48
-
Bush +1
697 LV
3.8
47
49
-
Kerry +2
718 LV
4.0
48
47
-
Bush +1
1090 LV
3.0
46.7
49.5
1.0
Kerry +2.8
801 LV
3.0
47
45
1
Bush +2
879 LV
5.0
47
47
2
TIE
LV
4.0
45
49
-
Kerry +4
861 LV
4.0
45
44
3
Bush +1
901 LV
3.3
44.0
52.3
1.0
Kerry +8.3
801 LV
3.0
44
48
2
Kerry +4
660 RV
3.8
42
48
3
Kerry +6
1,430 RV
2.6
42
47
4
Kerry +5
801 LV
3.0
43
48
2
Kerry +5
748 LV
3.7
41
53
-
Kerry +12
LV
4.0
45
46
-
Kerry +1
932 LV
3.2
44.7
52.7
0.7
Kerry +8.0
n/a
3.3
45.3
51.8
0.9
Kerry +6.5
815 RV
4.0
38
48
5
Kerry +10
801 LV
3.0
43
47
1
Kerry +4
1,577 RV
2.5
41
46
5
Kerry +5
n/a
3.6
44.9
52.2
0.9
Kerry +7.3
LV
4.0
43
48
-
Kerry +5
750 RV
4.0
46
41
3
Bush +5
839 RV
3.4
43
44
7
Kerry +1
n/a
3.4
44.7
51.7
1.5
Kerry +7.0
684 LV
3.8
46
47
-
Kerry +1
n/a
3.6
44.9
51.5
0.7
Kerry +6.6
LV
4.0
45
44
-
Bush +1
701 RV
3.5
41
44
6
Kerry +3
n/a
3.8
42.6
50.8
1.8
Kerry +8.2
400 RV
4.9
43
48
-
Kerry +5
Bennett, Petts (D) | 5/2-3
600 LV
4.0
43
49
-
Kerry +6
867 RV
4.0
42
42
5
TIE
769 RV
3.5
45
39
8
Bush +6
565 RV
4.5
46
40
3
Bush +6
500 LV
4.5
44
45
-
Kerry +1
1,022 RV
3.1
44
40
7
Bush +4
802 RV
3.5
47
49
-
Kerry +2
1,750 RV
2.4
45
47
-
Kerry +2
532 RV
4.2
46
47
-
Kerry +1



Senate Race            
2002: Santorum (R) 52, Klink (D) 46 | 1998: Specter (R) 61, Lloyd (D) 35
Poll | Date
Sample
MoE
Specter
(R)
Hoeffel
(D)
Und
Spread
650 LV
3.9
53
35
4
Specter +18
758 LV
3.6
54
35
4
Specter +19
801 LV
3.0
55
33
8
Specter +22
909 LV
3.3
53
33
7
Specter +20
601 LV
4.1
54
31
12
Specter +23
Strategic Vision (R) | 10/25-27
801 LV
3.0
55
35
6
Specter +20
909 LV
3.3
60
34
5
Specter +26
803 LV
3.5
51
38
5
Specter +13
LV
n/a
52
29
-
Specter +23
800 RV
3.5
50
32
11
Specter +18
841 LV
3.4
55
37
6
Specter +18
608 LV
4.1
48
41
5
Specter +7
801 LV
3.0
52
33
12
Specter +19
1343 LV
2.7
55
36
7
Specter +19
767 LV
3.6
54
35
2
Specter +19
LV
-
44
35
-
Specter +9
625 RV
4.0
53
31
16
Specter +22
491 RV
4.4
51
25
19
Specter +26
792 LV
3.5
51
33
14
Specter +18
LV
3.5
55
38
-
Specter +17
861 LV
4.0
51
33
3
Specter +18
861 LV
4.0
56
36
n/a
Specter +20
801 LV
3.0
49
32
20
Specter +17
660 RV
3.8
53
26
20
Specter +27



Congressional Race - District 13  
Poll | Date
Sample
MoE
Brown
(R)
Schwartz
(D)
Und
Spread
400 RV
4.9
32
45
23
Schwartz +13

Key: RV = Registered Voters, LV = Likely Voters, A = Adults
* Strategic Vision is a Republican polling firm.
**Zogby/WSJ polls use an internet-based survey methodology.
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