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New
Mexico 2004 Polls
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| Presidential
Race |
| 2004
Electoral Votes: 5 | 2000 Results: Bush 47.9, Gore 47.9,
Nader 3.6 (Gore +0.06) |
|
Poll
| Date |
Sample |
MoE |
Bush |
Kerry |
Nader |
Spread |
| RCP
Average | 10/26-11/1 |
- |
- |
47.8 |
46.4 |
1.3 |
Bush
+1.4 |
| |
601
LV |
4.1 |
48 |
51 |
- |
Kerry
+3 |
| |
600
LV |
4.0 |
47 |
48 |
1 |
Kerry
+1 |
| |
625
LV |
4.0 |
49 |
45 |
- |
Bush
+4 |
| |
- |
3.0 |
47 |
44 |
1 |
Bush
+3 |
| |
500
LV |
4.5 |
48 |
44 |
2 |
Bush
+4 |
| |
600
LV |
4.0 |
46 |
48 |
1 |
Kerry
+2 |
| |
625
LV |
4.0 |
49 |
44 |
- |
Bush
+5 |
| |
673
LV |
4.0 |
50 |
47 |
2 |
Bush
+3 |
| |
872
LV |
3.0 |
43 |
46 |
2 |
Kerry
+3 |
| |
802
RV |
4.0 |
45 |
49 |
1 |
Kerry
+4 |
| |
625
LV |
4.0 |
47 |
43 |
2 |
Bush
+4 |
| |
600
LV |
4.0 |
44 |
49 |
1 |
Kerry
+5 |
| |
546
LV |
4.2 |
43.9 |
53.6 |
1.1 |
Kerry
+9.7 |
| |
908
LV |
3.0 |
45 |
42 |
1 |
Bush
+3 |
| |
507
LV |
4.4 |
44.1 |
49.7 |
0.7 |
Kerry
+5.6 |
| |
600
LV |
4.0 |
42 |
49 |
2 |
Kerry
+7 |
| |
500 LV |
4.5 |
46 |
46 |
(4)* |
TIE |
| |
LV |
5.0 |
43 |
50 |
(5)* |
Kerry
+7 |
| |
494
LV |
4.4 |
47.6 |
49.1 |
0.5 |
Kerry
+1.5 |
| |
n/a |
4.4 |
42.2 |
52.0 |
0.9 |
Kerry
+9.8 |
| |
n/a |
4.3 |
42.1 |
49.4 |
2.9 |
Kerry
+7.3 |
| |
600
LV |
4.0 |
42 |
49 |
3 |
Kerry
+7 |
| |
n/a |
4.4 |
43.2 |
50.1 |
1.4 |
Kerry
+6.9 |
| |
n/a |
4.2 |
48.1 |
47.7 |
2.1 |
Bush
+0.4 |
| |
n/a |
4.6 |
43.3 |
48.4 |
2.9 |
Kerry
+5.1 |
| |
600
LV |
4.0 |
46 |
45 |
3 |
Bush
+1 |
| Congressional
Race - District 1 |
|
Poll
| Date |
Sample |
MoE |
Wilson
(R) |
Romero
(D) |
Und |
Spread |
|
|
- |
3.0 |
51 |
43 |
6 |
Wilson
+8 |
| |
369
LV |
5.0 |
45 |
44 |
11 |
Wilson
+1 |
| |
405
RV |
5.0 |
49 |
43 |
8 |
Wilson
+6 |
| Congressional
Race - District 2 |
|
Poll
| Date |
Sample |
MoE |
Pearce
(R) |
King
(D) |
Und |
Spread |
| |
300
RV |
5.6 |
51 |
34 |
15 |
Pearce
+17 |
| Congressional
Race - District 3 |
|
Poll
| Date |
Sample |
MoE |
Tucker
(R) |
Udall
(D) |
Und |
Spread |
| |
203
RV |
6.9 |
21 |
63 |
16 |
Udall
+42 |
Key: RV
= Registered Voters, LV = Likely Voters, A = Adults
* Libertarian
candidate Michael Badnarik registered 4% in the Rasmussen poll.
Nader is currently not on the ballot in NM.
**Zogby/WSJ
polls use aninternet-based survey methodology.
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