| Presidential
Race |
| 2004
Electoral Votes: 27 | 2000 Results: Bush 48.9, Gore 48.8,
Nader 1.6 (Bush
+0.1) |
| Poll
| Date |
Sample |
MoE |
Bush |
Kerry |
Nader |
Spread |
| RCP
Average | 10/25-11/1 |
- |
- |
48.2 |
47.6 |
1.0 |
Bush
+0.6 |
| |
600
LV |
4.0 |
48 |
50 |
1 |
Kerry
+2 |
| |
601
LV |
4.1 |
48 |
48 |
- |
TIE |
| |
700 LV |
3.0 |
44 |
49 |
1 |
Kerry
+5 |
| |
742 LV |
3.7 |
49 |
48 |
- |
Bush
+1 |
| Insdr
Adv | 10/29-31 |
400 LV |
5.0 |
48 |
48 |
1 |
TIE |
| |
1098
LV |
3.0 |
51 |
43 |
1 |
Bush
+8 |
| |
1138
LV |
4.1 |
47 |
50 |
- |
Kerry
+3 |
| |
600
LV |
4.0 |
50 |
47 |
- |
Bush
+3 |
| |
625 LV |
4.0 |
49 |
45 |
- |
Bush
+4 |
| |
500
LV |
4.0 |
50 |
45 |
- |
Bush
+5 |
| |
801
LV |
3.0 |
50 |
46 |
1 |
Bush
+4 |
| |
802
LV |
3.0 |
47 |
48 |
2 |
Kerry
+1 |
| |
944
LV |
3.2 |
49 |
46 |
1 |
Bush
+3 |
| |
510
LV |
4.0 |
51 |
43 |
2 |
Bush
+8 |
| |
600
LV |
4.0 |
46 |
49 |
1 |
Kerry
+3 |
| |
749
LV |
4.1 |
48 |
50 |
- |
Kerry
+2 |
| |
601
LV |
4.1 |
51 |
43 |
1 |
Bush
+8 |
| |
567
LV |
4.0 |
48 |
48 |
- |
TIE |
| |
801
LV |
3.0 |
49 |
47 |
1 |
Bush
+2 |
| |
800
LV |
3.5 |
46 |
46 |
1 |
TIE |
| |
600
LV |
4.0 |
47 |
48 |
2 |
Kerry
+1 |
| |
801
LV |
3.0 |
49 |
46 |
1 |
Bush
+1 |
| |
808
LV |
3.5 |
48 |
47 |
1 |
Bush
+1 |
| |
601
LV |
4.1 |
49 |
50 |
- |
Kerry
+1 |
| |
625
LV |
4.0 |
48 |
45 |
- |
Bush
+3 |
| |
641
LV |
4.0 |
44 |
45 |
2 |
Kerry
+1 |
| |
801
LV |
3.0 |
49 |
45 |
1 |
Bush
+4 |
| |
684
LV |
4.0 |
49 |
46 |
1 |
Bush
+3 |
| |
655
LV |
4.0 |
48 |
48 |
1 |
TIE |
| |
801
LV |
3.0 |
49 |
44 |
1 |
Bush
+5 |
| |
625
LV |
4.0 |
48 |
44 |
3 |
Bush
+4 |
| |
717
LV |
3.7 |
51 |
44 |
- |
Bush
+7 |
| |
600
LV |
4.0 |
47 |
49 |
- |
Kerry
+2 |
| |
800
LV |
3.5 |
47 |
49 |
2 |
Kerry
+2 |
| |
711
LV |
3.8 |
51 |
46 |
- |
Bush
+5 |
| |
781
LV |
4.0 |
51 |
47 |
- |
Bush
+4 |
| |
704
LV |
4.0 |
52 |
43 |
1 |
Bush
+9 |
| |
674
LV |
4.0 |
49 |
46 |
2 |
Bush
+3 |
| |
819
RV |
3.4 |
49 |
41 |
5 |
Bush
+8 |
| |
600
LV |
4.0 |
45 |
46 |
2 |
Kerry
+1 |
| |
607
LV |
4.1 |
51 |
45 |
- |
Bush
+6 |
| |
1679
LV |
2.4 |
49.1 |
49.4 |
0.6 |
Kerry
+0.3 |
| |
801
LV |
3.0 |
48 |
44 |
2 |
Bush
+4 |
| |
600
LV |
- |
46 |
46 |
2 |
TIE |
| |
800
LV |
3.5 |
48 |
46 |
2 |
Bush
+2 |
| |
500
LV |
4.0 |
49 |
47 |
2 |
Bush
+2 |
| |
671
LV |
4.0 |
48 |
46 |
2 |
Bush
+2 |
| |
1,421
LV |
2.6 |
49.0 |
49.6 |
0.3 |
Kerry
+0.6 |
| |
801
LV |
3.0 |
46 |
47 |
2 |
Kerry
+1 |
| |
1,094
RV |
3.0 |
41 |
47 |
4 |
Kerry
+6 |
| |
600
LV |
4.0 |
43 |
50 |
2 |
Kerry
+7 |
| |
801
LV |
3.0 |
48 |
47 |
1 |
Bush
+1 |
| |
LV |
4.0 |
45 |
47 |
- |
Kerry
+2 |
| |
1,587
LV |
2.5 |
46.7 |
49.5 |
2.0 |
Kerry
+2.8 |
| |
n/a |
2.5 |
48.5 |
48.4 |
0.9 |
Bush
+0.1 |
| |
699
LV |
4.0 |
50 |
47 |
- |
Bush
+3 |
| |
625
LV |
4.0 |
48 |
46 |
2 |
Bush
+2 |
| |
729
RV |
4.0 |
45 |
44 |
2 |
Bush
+1 |
| |
687
RV |
4.0 |
46 |
46 |
- |
TIE |
| |
600
LV |
4.0 |
44 |
47 |
3 |
Kerry
+3 |
| |
600
LV |
4.0 |
44 |
47 |
3 |
Kerry
+3 |
| |
732
LV |
3.7 |
44 |
47 |
- |
Kerry
+3 |
| |
n/a |
2.9 |
44.2 |
50.8 |
2.9 |
Kerry
+6.6 |
| |
LV |
4.0 |
43 |
48 |
5 |
Kerry
+5 |
| |
1,209
RV |
2.8 |
43 |
43 |
5 |
TIE |
| |
801
RV |
3.0 |
48 |
46 |
- |
Bush
+2 |
| |
750
RV |
4.0 |
48 |
38 |
3 |
Bush
+10 |
| |
600
LV |
4.0 |
46 |
47 |
2 |
Kerry
+1 |
| |
n/a |
2.6 |
50.3 |
46.1 |
0.5 |
Bush
+4.2 |
| |
723
LV |
3.7 |
50 |
43 |
n/a |
Bush
+7 |
| |
n/a |
2.9 |
47.9 |
49.5 |
0.6 |
Kerry
+1.6 |
| |
n/a |
4.0 |
46 |
46 |
- |
TIE |
| |
n/a |
3.4 |
47.6 |
49 |
1 |
Kerry
+1.4 |
| |
600
LV |
4.0 |
47 |
46 |
3 |
Bush
+1 |
| |
1,000
LV |
3.0 |
46 |
48 |
3 |
Kerry
+2 |
| |
600
LV |
4.0 |
46 |
45 |
3 |
Bush
+1 |
| |
500
LV |
4.5 |
46 |
47 |
- |
Kerry
+1 |
| |
625
RV |
4.0 |
51 |
43 |
- |
Bush
+8 |
| |
400
LV |
5.0 |
45 |
48 |
- |
Kerry
+3 |
| |
800
RV |
3.5 |
43 |
49 |
3 |
Kerry
+6 |
| |
600
LV |
4.0 |
44 |
45 |
4 |
Kerry
+1 |