Friday, September 24 2004:
IS RUSS FEINGOLD IN TROUBLE?:
That's the question many people have been asking after seeing this ABC News poll showing Feingold's lead over Republican Tim Michels a mere 6 points. But not so fast. The recently released Badger Poll, which showed a lead for President Bush (14 points) that was comparable to the ABC poll (10 points), shows Feingold with a comfortable 15-point lead over Michels, 53-38.

Michels is a young (42), wealthy and attractive candidate with a strong military background who emerged from the GOP primary just ten days ago with solid double-digit victory in a four way race. As is the case for many challengers, however, the problem is that Michels is a virtual unknown in the state (58% don't know enough about him to answer the favorable/ unfavorable question in the Badger Poll) with only 40 days until election day.

On the other side, Feingold's job approval in the Badger Poll stands at 49% and his reelect is at 47% - which is to say that he may be slightly vulnerable for an incumbent. If you also take into account Feingold's history, especially his narrow victory in 1998 (a 51-48 win over Republican Mark Neumann) and the fact that the state seems to be trending Republican, you can start to see slightest indications of a possible upset in the making. This is definitely a race to keep an eye on.

Still, as things stand right now the odds remain strongly in Feingold's favor. It will take a Herculean effort by Michels over the next six weeks along with a big win for Bush to prevent Feingold from winning another term.
Related Links: Competitive U.S. Senate Races | WI Senate Page

THE GREAT DEBATE: With the first Presidential debate coming up next week, now would be a good time to plug this new feature on the 1960 Nixon-Kennedy debate sponsored by the Museum of Broadcast Communications. Sunday, September 26 will mark the 44th anniversary of "The Great Debate" which was broadcast - irony of all ironies - from the CBS News studio here in Chicago.

In addition to accessing this extraordinary fifteen minute documentary with some behind the scenes footage of the Nixon-Kennedy debate, true political junkies will swoon over this page which provides a history of televised Presidential debates from 1960 through 2000.

I would venture to say that the coming debate between President Bush and Senator Kerry could very well rival The Great Debate in terms of the level of interest, importance, and possibly even impact on the outcome of the Presidential race.
Related Links: Pew: When Debates Matter | National Journal: The Main Event)
- T. Bevan 12:15 pm Link | Email | Send to a Friend

 

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