Tuesday, May 10 2005
THE IRONY FACING TOM DELAY:
In his column today, the always-insightful Charlie Cook notes an interesting piece of irony facing Tom DeLay in 2006:

Does DeLay face more formidable opposition if he seeks re-election in 2006 than he did last year, when he beat neophyte Democrat Richard Morrison 55-41 percent, with a Libertarian candidate and an independent each garnering 2 percent? Yes.

Former Rep. Nick Lampson, who represented about 20 percent of this district before a DeLay-engineered redistricting, is the strong frontrunner for the Democratic nomination. Lampson might face Houston City Councilman Gordon Quan in a March primary.

Given the substantially greater adversity that DeLay faces today, it might be enough to cost him 5 to 9 percentage points and the seat.

While DeLay spent more than $2.7 million to get re-elected in 2004, not counting considerable outside resources that went into the effort, this time it would likely cost upwards of $5 million.

Keep in mind, the 22nd District is not DeLay's old rock-ribbed Republican seat. DeLay was a team player in redistricting, and gave up heavily Republican areas, picking up Democratic territory, as a gesture to urge Republican members also to give up friendly territory.

In retrospect, he really could use that old turf. One Washington insider privately noted that it would be ironic if DeLay ended up being the first GOP casualty of his own redistricting plan.

INSANITY VS. REALITY: Slate's Timothy Noah is confused. Noah can't seem to figure out "the working class's refusal to synchronize its politics with its economic interests," so he wastes pixels (not to mention the reader's time) exploring the silly argument that working class families who support Bush are "literally insane."

Noah should check out Steve Sailer. Sailer has actually done some research (gasp!) and boiled the issue down to a principle he's calling the Affordable Family Formation:

In parts of the country where it is economical to buy a house with a yard in a neighborhood with a decent public school, you'll generally find more Republicans.

Sounds reasonable - and rational - to me. If Sailer is right, then there's nothing the matter with Kansas at all. - T. Bevan 10:15am Link | Email | Send To A Friend

© 2000-2005 RealClearPolitics.com   All Rights Reserved


RCP Blogroll
Larry Kudlow
Matthew Yglesias
Mickey Kaus
Belgravia Dispatch
Mudville Gazette
Blackfive MyDD
Brad DeLong Mystery Pollster
Charles Johnson
Patrick Ruffini
David Limbaugh
Donkey Rising
Ed Morrissey Radioblogger
Froggy Ruminations Red State
Galley Slaves Right Wing News
GOP Bloggers
Indc Journal TKS
Jim Miller
Josh Marshall
Juan Cole Wizbang
Kevin Drum
 
Archives - 2005
4/11-17 | 4/4-10 | 3/28-4/3 | 3/21-27 | 3/14-20 | 3/7-13 | 2/28-3/6 | 2/21-27 | 2/14-20 | 2/7-13 | 1/31-2/6 | 1/24-30 | 1/17-23 | 1/10-16 | 1/3-1/9

Archives - 2004
12/27-1/2 | 12/20-26 | 12/13-12/19 | 12/6-12/12 | 11/29-12/5 | 11/22-28 | 11/15-21 | 11/8-14 | 11/1-7 | 10/25-31 | 10/18-24 | 10/11-17 | 10/4-10 | 9/27-10/3 | 9/20-26 | 9/13-19 | 9/6-12 | 8/30-9/5 | 8/23-27 | 8/16-22 | 8/9-15 | 8/2-8 | 7/26-8/1 | 7/19-7/25 | 7/12-18 | 7/5-11 | 6/28-7/4 | 6/21-6/27 | 6/14-20 | 6/7-13 | 5/31-6/6 | 5/24-30 | 5/17-23 | 5/10-16 | 5/3-5/9 | 4/26-5/2 | 4/19-25 | 4/12-18 | 4/5-11 | 3/29-4/4 | 3/22-28 | 3/15-21 | 3/8-14 | 3/1-7 | 2/23-27 | 2/16-22 | 2/9-15 | 2/2-2/8 | 1/26-2/1 | 1/19-25 | 1/12-18 | 1/5-11 | 12/29/03-1/4/04

Archives - 2003
12/22-28 | 12/15-21 | 12/8-14 | 12/1-7 | 11/24-11/30 | 11/17-11/23 | 11/10-11/16 | 11/3-11/9 | 10/27-11/2 | 10/20-26 | 10/13-19 | 10/6-10/12 | 9/29-10/5 | 9/22-28 | 9/15-9/21 | 9/8-9/14 | 9/1-9/7 | 8/25-8/31 | 8/17-8/24 | 8/11-8/16 | 8/4-8/10 | 7/28-8/3 | 7/21-7/27 | 7/14-7/20 | 7/7-7/13 | 6/30-7/6 | 6/23-6/29 | 6/16-6/22 | 6/9-6/15 | 6/2-6/8 | 5/26-6/1 | 5/19-5/25 | 5/12-5/18 | 5/5-5/11 | 4/28-5/4 | 4/21-4/27 | 4/14-4/20 | 4/7-4/13 | 3/31-4/6 | 3/24 - 3/30 | 3/10 - 3/17 | 3/3-3/9 | 2/24-3/2 | 2/17-2/23 |
2/10-2/16 | 2/3- 2/9 | 1/27 - 2/2 | 1/20 -1/26 | 1/13-1/19 | 1/6-1/12 | 12/31/02-1/5/03

Archives - 2002
12/23-12/29 | 12/16-12/22 | 12/9-12/15 | 12/2-12/8 | 11/25-12/1 | 11/18-11/24 | 11/11-11/17 | 11/4-11/10 | 10/28-11/3 | 10/21-10/27 | 10/14 -10/20 | 10/7-10/13 | 9/30-10/6 | 9/23 -9/29 | 9/16-9/22